Saturday, November 24, 2007

Samuelson on the current sorry situation

Paul Samuelson, author of the Neoclassical Synthesis, weighed in on the dangerous state of the current market error economy in in New Crisis, Balancing Market Freeedoms (issued the same day as the Fed's economic targets).
.... Today, central bankers and U.S. Treasury cabinet officers cannot know whether current interest rates are too high or too low. This is surprising, but true. The safest bond interest rates are indeed low. But financial panic engendered by the burst bubble of unsound U.S. and foreign mortgage lending means that even a mammoth corporation like General Electric would find it expensive now to finance a loan needed to build a new and efficient factory.

The situation is not hopeless. New, rational regulations that discourage predatory lending and rash borrowing could help a lot. Also, as we learned during the Great Depression, the government's treasury and its central bank must be both the lenders of last resort and the spenders of last resort. Speculative markets will not stabilize themselves.

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